Possibility and Warning Signs of World War III

Current global geopolitical tensions are pushing the world closer to the brink of a Third World War. The growing rivalry between the United States and its Western allies versus Russia and China is a major factor. The Ukraine war and the Taiwan issue are also seen as early warnings of potential conflict.

Division of Allies and Enemies

• Allies: United States, NATO members, Japan, South Korea, Australia.
• Enemies: Russia, China, Iran, North Korea.
• Neutral Nations: Countries like India, Bangladesh, and Brazil are likely to remain neutral but might shift their stance based on the evolving situation.

Impacts of the War: Humanity and Technological Devastation

If World War III occurs, the use of nuclear weapons, chemical warfare, and cyberattacks will bring unprecedented destruction to humanity and technology.

• Nuclear Weapons: Immediate loss of millions of lives and long-term radiation-related illnesses.
• Chemical Weapons: Environmental pollution and creation of pandemics.
• Cyber Warfare: Destruction of digital infrastructure (banking, electricity, healthcare) and spread of disinformation leading to social unrest.
• Artificial Intelligence: Autonomous weapons and drones may escalate the intensity and speed of conflict.

Impacts on South Asian Countries

Though South Asia may not be a direct battlefield in World War III, it will face severe indirect consequences.

India

• Potential conflicts with China or Pakistan over border disputes.
• Economic challenges due to rising oil prices.

Pakistan

• Likely to support China and Russia due to their close alliances.
• Existing economic instability will worsen.

Bangladesh

• Severe food and energy shortages.
• Decline in garment exports, leading to economic setbacks.
• An increase in the Rohingya refugee crisis.

Other Countries

• Nepal and Bhutan: Geopolitical pressures due to India-China conflicts.
• Sri Lanka: Further economic collapse and loss of tourism revenue.
• Afghanistan: Intensified internal instability.

Will Bangladesh Support Russia?

Bangladesh has historically maintained a friendly relationship with Russia, particularly through initiatives like the Rooppur Nuclear Power Plant and military cooperation.

Possible Stance

• Neutral Position: Bangladesh is likely to maintain a neutral stance, similar to its approach during the Russia-Ukraine war.
• Soft Support for Russia: Due to economic and military ties, Bangladesh might show soft support for Russia without taking overt actions.
• Western Pressure: The risk of sanctions from the US and the EU will deter Bangladesh from fully siding with Russia.

Conclusion

World War III will not only devastate the participating nations but also bring severe consequences for neutral countries. South Asian nations, including Bangladesh, will face food shortages, economic crises, and political instability. Bangladesh will likely adopt a balanced approach, striving to maintain neutrality while managing its relationships with both Russia and the Western world.